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From: Free Thinking Doggie
Government shutdowns and the markets.. 'so here three recent examples: ​ 🔹 1995–96 (Lasted for 21 days) Clinton vs. Gingrich 📈 S&P 500: +3% during the shutdown ​💡 Takeaway: Market shrugged it off. Strong economy, early tech boom. ​ 🔹 2013 (Lasted for 16 days) Fight over Obamacare 📈 S&P 500: +3% during the shutdown (after a brief wobble) ​⚠️ VIX: Spiked into the mid-20s before a deal, then eased back. ​ 🔹 2018–19 (Lasted for 35 days) Trump’s border wall standoff 📈 S&P 500: Rallied >10% off the Christmas Eve lows ​💡 Takeaway: Market was reacting to Powell’s Fed pivot… not shutdown news. ​ So… What matters? ​ Well, shutdowns get headlines. It all sounds scary, people click. 😱 ​ But historically? The markets DGAF… ​ The real drivers? ​ The Fed Macro conditions Market context ​ So whilst it’s a wobbly start to Q4 on the futures this morning… history shows us that the shutdown is probably not the driver. ​ As always…context matters. ​ Catch you tomorrow, ​ Mark ​

Current Thread	Author	Time
Government shutdowns and the markets.. ...[more]	Free Thinking Doggie	11:16:00

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